From Digital Music News
A one-word description for the next few years of radio?
Chaos!
Thursday
morning: Big Machine Label Group inks another momentous, direct
licensing deal with Entercom Communications Corp., one that covers both
terrestrial (analog) and digital (online, mobile) radio streams. Just
like the groundbreaking Clear Channel partnership inked in June, this
means royalties will be directly paid to Big Machine, all through
privately-negotiated terms. This is a deal done in their treehouse, and
not subject to statutory, government-mandated rates.
All
of which represents a massive, disruptive threat to SoundExchange, a
bureaucracy currently bogged in bad accounting, unpaid holding balances,
and a legal battle with one of its top contributors. Meanwhile,
Pandora is choking to death, perhaps a commentary on the broader
prospects for digital radio formats. "When our interests are aligned,
and when we have a very predictable, transparent business model, we are
much more motivated to grow the digital business," Clear Channel CEO
John Hogan recently told an audience at the Billboard Country Summit in
Nashville.
These
aren't handshakes happening in some corner. Instead, these are some of
the largest music media companies on the planet. Big Machine is home
to mega-artists like Taylor Swift and Tim McGraw; Entercom is one of the
largest conglomerates in the United States with 100+ stations across 23
markets, including Boston, San Francisco, Seattle, Denver and Portland.
Which means, of course, Big Machine gets lots of airplay on those 100+
stations, not to mention the Clear Channel stations.
"The idea that we have to pay them to put their music on our radio stations is absurd..."
But
wait: not every big dog wants to play catch. That includes CBS chief
executive Leslie Moonves, who considers rotation on radio a privilege,
not a right. And definitely not something he's willing to pay for.
"The idea that we have to pay them to put their music on our radio
stations is absurd," Moonves recently told a group of radio executives
at a National Association of Broadcasters conference in Dallas, as
quoted by RadioInfo.
Which means, in 2012, the radio terrain looks something like this:
(1) Some mega-broadcasters, like CBS Radio, will fight tooth-and-nail against any attempt to charge royalties on recordings.
(2)
Others, like Clear Channel and Entercom, will entertain
directly-licensed deals. But these deals could take considerable time
to complete and could exclude vast numbers of artists in the process
(remember, Big Machine gets lots of preferential rotation treatment
here).
(3) These deals could also severely marginalize companies like SoundExchange.
(4)
The major labels will continue to fight in Congress for a
federally-mandated royalty on radio-streamed recordings. They will
probably fail.
(5)
Companies like Pandora will continue to pay royalties that broadcast
radio does not. And, struggle for survival in the process.
(6)
Satellite (ie, Sirius XM) radio will continue to pursue
directly-licensed arrangements, while litigating against the likes of
SoundExchange and A2IM.
(7) And, broadcast radio will still be playing the same, 40 songs you know and love...
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